Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.082662 0.098098 0.115404 0.136214 0.160528 0.188005 0.221381
2025-03-02 0.056791 0.075937 0.099864 0.131833 0.173284 0.225058 0.294461
2025-03-09 0.043428 0.063825 0.091586 0.131846 0.188404 0.264633 0.374692
2025-03-16 0.034140 0.054354 0.083914 0.129820 0.198725 0.297571 0.449165
2025-03-23 0.028845 0.049215 0.080903 0.133075 0.215911 0.341145 0.543157
2025-03-30 0.023947 0.043546 0.075811 0.131837 0.225425 0.373746 0.624045
2025-04-06 0.019821 0.038258 0.070254 0.128620 0.230784 0.399834 0.697085
2025-04-13 0.016395 0.033488 0.064665 0.124236 0.233163 0.420778 0.763458
2025-04-20 0.014534 0.031248 0.063139 0.126662 0.247435 0.463004 0.870229
2025-04-27 0.012807 0.028929 0.061045 0.127605 0.258932 0.501372 0.974117
2025-05-04 0.011318 0.026809 0.058968 0.128188 0.269652 0.539255 1.080906
2025-05-11 0.010160 0.025178 0.057600 0.129929 0.282715 0.582715 1.202479
2025-05-18 0.009380 0.024293 0.057738 0.134979 0.303434 0.643821 1.366071
2025-05-25 0.008015 0.021767 0.053899 0.130911 0.304670 0.666625 1.456661
2025-06-01 0.007127 0.020236 0.052054 0.130985 0.314759 0.708456 1.590375
2025-06-08 0.006240 0.018523 0.049492 0.128984 0.319906 0.740362 1.706544
2025-06-15 0.005750 0.017774 0.049153 0.132223 0.337395 0.800561 1.889444
2025-06-22 0.005101 0.016447 0.047132 0.130993 0.344157 0.837734 2.025480
2025-06-29 0.004454 0.014983 0.044501 0.127796 0.345698 0.863171 2.137623
2025-07-06 0.003849 0.013514 0.041604 0.123439 0.343733 0.880176 2.231985
2025-07-13 0.003559 0.012977 0.041226 0.125849 0.359390 0.940594 2.434537
2025-07-20 0.003251 0.012312 0.040366 0.126787 0.371291 0.993110 2.623273
2025-07-27 0.002965 0.011658 0.039430 0.127367 0.382301 1.044539 2.814399